So I decided I wanted to wild ferment my mead. I have a 1.5 gallon big mouth bubbler (fantastic for making fruit infused mead/cider), and I added about 3 pounds of raw honey to a bit less than a gallon of water. I started this process on 1/11/20 and I have been stirring it at least once daily (I know I'm supposed to be stirring more frequently, but I'm busy with school and work, lame, right). I have a cheese cloth draped over the top of the bubbler so that the yeast gets oxygen and I've been told and have read that there isn't any threat of oxidation while the yeast is growing and multiplying. However, I have no idea if this thing has taken yet. It doesn't smell off, there isn't any mold or anything, I just don't see any signs of yeast doing anything? No bubbles or anything. About five days ago, I threw some raisins in there and have been stirring... my question is, how do I know if it's going and can be re-racked and what else can I do to get it going if it isn't already?