Yooper, while I agree that 1.5 volumes is a bit on the low side, it really does enhance the beer to be carbonated appropriate for a given style. Sam Smith Oatmeal Stout -- very low carbonation in the bottle, perhaps 1.8-2 volumes. Perfectly carbonated. Any more and you loose the nice smoothness that beer is supposed to have.
For competition brewing, it's better to err on the side of overcarbonation than under. I have gotten dinged for low carbonation in beers that were perfectly carbonated simply because the judges are either 1. getting overcarbed examples and thinking that's normal, 2. not understanding bjcp carbonation guidelines, or 3. having the beer sit a bit too long prior to drinking or 4. using plastic cups with lots of nucleation sites that kick all the co2 out of the beer. Option 5 is of course: It's just undercarbed by me.
What I've noticed is that the threshold for undercarbed beers is much lower than over carbed beers. They're only drinking 2 oz or so in competition. It's a lot easier to drink overcarbed 2 oz than overcarbed 12 oz. If they pour a full flight of beers, the last beer might have off gassed a bunch of co2 prior to them drinking it anyway, so by the time it comes around the beer which was initially overcarbed is now perfectly carbonated.
My personal threshold where I think a beer is "under carbed" is right about 1.9 volumes it seems. Figure that 0.9 is basically room temp beer fully fermented in a carboy. That's flat. So 1.5 is hardly more. About 2.0 is perfect for my taste for british styles, 2.3-2.4 for american ambers, browns. 2.5-2.7 for pale styles like lager, hybrid, or ipa. 3-3.3 for heavy, dark wheats or belgian beers, and 3.5 for german mid strength wheats or wits.
I've tried using "temp at bottling" without much success. Like Yooper suggested, I take an appx temp of fermentation. 64F fermentation = 'temp at bottling' of 64F even if I held it cold for a week or two prior.
Really though, without making the same beer over and over, it's kind of a crap shoot. The best way is to either keg and bottle or get a 2L and use a carbonator cap to dial in the carbonation if you're doing competition beers.
That's my treatise on the subject.