I haven't seen the show yet but I'm very wary. I work in the Nuclear industry and used to teach reactor operations (including reactor physics/theory) and the amount of misinformation that's continously spread about Chernobyl makes me cautious that any popular TV show will get the facts right.
To even describe the explosion in "megatons" (as is used to describe a bomb) is disingenuous since it was a steam explosion and not a nuclear explosion.
Other than the terrible cost to the firefighters there has been little real understanding of the regional health effects, with estimates ranging from hundreds to millions affected in a number of disputed statistical studies.
The area is currently a wildlife preserve full of perfectly healthy plants and animals.
Anecdotal stories abound such as "I saw a pig with an extra leg" or "my nephew got cancer because...." That's the real problem with stochastic (long term) health issues. The only way to prove they exist is when a statistically significant number of people die in 50 years and that data is being meticulously recorded. It's a hard thing to do and nobody has done a good job with the data.
Happy to answer any questions about radiation, radiation monitoring, reactor physics, etc though
If the corium had hit the water in either full storage tanks or the ground water beneath, what would have been the magnitude of the explosion in TNT equivalent?
In this particular case the magnitude of explosion mattered not just because of the blast itself and the worsened spread of fallout but because, if big enough, it might have also destroyed the other 3 reactors nearby, allegedly making everything far worse.I have no idea, so I googled it. A guy ran the calculations on a physics stack exchange and came up with approximately 150 tons of TNT in force equivalent far less than a megaton level explosion.
I was more referring to the ideological usage of megatons to describe the explosion. When most people hear megatons they automatically associate it with an atomic bomb explosion. There's nothing factually incorrect with using a TNT equivalence to express the force of the explosion, but that was an intentional choice designed to make that association. Reactors =/ nuclear bombs ever
In this particular case the magnitude of explosion mattered not just because of the blast itself and the worsened spread of fallout but because, if big enough, it might have also destroyed the other 3 reactors nearby, allegedly making everything far worse.
Allegedly, it didn't happen because they worked hard to prevent it from happening, requiring 3 guys on a possible a suicide mission. If I type more it would be spoilers. I guess you have to see it to understand the context.I probably could have but it didn't. The graphite fire and fallout were bad enough so I don't understand why we should evaluate a consequence that didn't happen.. unless I'm missing something?
Allegedly, it didn't happen because they worked hard to prevent it from happening, requiring 3 guys on a possible a suicide mission. If I type more it would be spoilers. I guess you have to see it to understand the context.
He was a tragic hero. He apparently blindly trusted that the state would take care of him and his crew, whereas the truth was just the opposite. Seems as though he could have negotiated for good treatment of his crew before agreeing to do the work, but maybe that would just have gotten him a bullet? It would have been interesting to see him at least try for that. It wouldn't have been unreasonable.I mean Russia is going to pay to produce their own version, blaming the disaster on a CIA mole at the site.
I think it shows that they were probably spot-on overall, so much so that Putin needs a Propaganda version of a show about an event that happened 33 years ago. I mean details aside, they really nail what we all suspect was the bureaucratic incompetence that crumbled the Soviet system.
Oh and the head miner is the best. Everything he asks for he doesn't get and he knows all his dudes are going to die so he's like we'll just mine naked you idiots.
OK, so for those who need a TL;DR, here's a two minute video on where the 3-5 megaton number comes from:
Apparently it would not have been just a steam explosion (which is what the physics forum tried to calculate) but instead somehow a nuclear chain reaction. Is that even possible? I don't understand the mechanism, but the alleged nuclear physicist in the video calls it that. He alleges that somehow >1400kg of uranium and graphite, mixed with water, reaches critical mass and would result in the 3-5 megaton explosion.
So, for the nuclear expert here, is that a justifiable claim? Is it possible?
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